Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.238305 0.270538 0.305019 0.344591 0.388690 0.436265 0.491412
2025-10-12 0.198873 0.242816 0.292857 0.353849 0.425956 0.508252 0.609044
2025-10-19 0.168281 0.218866 0.279660 0.357647 0.454533 0.570392 0.718833
2025-10-26 0.146499 0.201564 0.270972 0.364085 0.484825 0.635093 0.835112
2025-11-02 0.131508 0.190313 0.267650 0.375585 0.520890 0.708093 0.965589
2025-11-09 0.114877 0.174415 0.255922 0.373962 0.538491 0.757314 1.067454
2025-11-16 0.101327 0.160909 0.245578 0.372456 0.555021 0.804949 1.168885
2025-11-23 0.090006 0.149131 0.236154 0.370782 0.570291 0.850773 1.269418
2025-11-30 0.082828 0.142668 0.233602 0.378386 0.598688 0.915822 1.399654
2025-12-07 0.074951 0.134133 0.226927 0.378869 0.616049 0.965344 1.509529
2025-12-14 0.068056 0.126367 0.220582 0.379024 0.632411 1.013664 1.619421
2025-12-21 0.062241 0.119732 0.215331 0.380230 0.650043 1.064277 1.734640
2025-12-28 0.057494 0.114671 0.212563 0.385801 0.675842 1.130190 1.879036
2026-01-04 0.054024 0.111517 0.212704 0.396144 0.709934 1.210782 2.050375
2026-01-11 0.049921 0.106711 0.209494 0.400400 0.734059 1.276656 2.201653
2026-01-18 0.046658 0.103125 0.208081 0.407550 0.763307 1.352054 2.371607
2026-01-25 0.044454 0.101365 0.209793 0.420285 0.802755 1.445937 2.575828
2026-02-01 0.040607 0.095810 0.203859 0.418499 0.816427 1.497230 2.711705
2026-02-08 0.037173 0.090704 0.198283 0.416838 0.829993 1.548696 2.849831
2026-02-15 0.034064 0.085921 0.192879 0.414989 0.842900 1.599356 2.988491
2026-02-22 0.032286 0.083886 0.192798 0.423399 0.875149 1.685115 3.191165
2026-03-01 0.029904 0.080182 0.188928 0.423934 0.892441 1.744947 3.350798
2026-03-08 0.027703 0.076636 0.185056 0.424105 0.908903 1.803826 3.510957